About

harbigol is an independent, free analysis site that shows odds movements in the world football market in a clear way.

What we do

We obtain bookmaker prices from a licensed data provider (The Odds API), remove each bookmaker's margin and average them. The result is a “market probability” that reflects the consensus of the market rather than any single bookmaker. If an outcome's market price has dropped since our first measurement, the market has grown more confident in it.

The both-teams-to-score probability is calculated from the match-result and over/under 2.5 probabilities with a Poisson model, and is labelled as such.

What we don't do

harbigol does not offer betting, takes no bets and links to no betting site. We never name or link bookmakers. Probabilities are not guarantees; content is for information only and for adults (18+).

Responsible gambling

If gambling has become a problem, help is available from your national support services.