Picks
Each bet type uses the rule that worked best in the 2010–2016 archive and was checked on 2017–2019 matches. A pick appears when a match's opening reaches that rule's threshold. The number on each pick is how often the rule hit in the 2017–19 back-test; green = 75% or more. Hit rate is not profit, and past frequency does not decide a match.
5 matches · 5 picksTimes are Istanbul time (UTC+3)
00:00
CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador
HT over 0.576%
13:00
UD San Sebastian de los Reyes – Real Avila CFSpain · Segunda RFEF 5
Away under 1.583%
16:00
West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W)
Away win (2)78%
21:00
Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches
Away under 1.583%
22:00
Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League
Home over 1.582%
Rules used (8 bet types)
- Home under 1.5 — DNB home + DNB away: 90% of at least 20 archive matches · back-test hit 89% (base 57%)
- Over 1.5 — DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5: 90% of at least 20 archive matches · back-test hit 84% (base 73%)
- Away under 1.5 — DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5: 90% of at least 20 archive matches · back-test hit 83% (base 68%)
- Home over 1.5 — DNB home + DNB away: 80% of at least 20 archive matches · back-test hit 82% (base 43%)
- Home win (1) — DNB home + Over 1.5: 90% of at least 10 archive matches · back-test hit 80% (base 45%)
- Away win (2) — DNB home + DNB away: 80% of at least 20 archive matches · back-test hit 78% (base 30%)
- HT over 0.5 — DNB home + Over 2.5: 90% of at least 20 archive matches · back-test hit 76% (base 69%)
- HT under 1.5 — DNB home + Over 2.5: 90% of at least 20 archive matches · back-test hit 75% (base 68%)
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · HT/FT turnarounds · Tests