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Today's Market Four

Match result · Over/Under 2.5 · BTTS

1Aldosivi Mar del PlataAtlético TucumanUnder 2.521.09 20:30 · Arjantin LigiUnder 2.5%65
2Barracas CentralIndependiente RivadaviaUnder 2.522.09 01:00 · Arjantin LigiUnder 2.5%66
3CriciumaOperario PRCriciuma22.09 01:30 · Brazil Série BCriciuma%55
4LanusEstudiantesBTTS: no · calculated22.09 03:15 · Arjantin LigiBTTS: nocalculated%59
All four together: %14 · 7.25The four outcomes the world market trusts most, across match result, over/under 2.5 and both teams to score. Refreshed every morning at 08:00 (Istanbul).

Dropping odds in the world market

Odds from bookmakers worldwide are stripped of their margin and averaged into a single “market price”. If an outcome’s market price has dropped since we first measured it, the market has grown more confident in it. No bookmaker is named. Last update: 21.09 11:18.

No drops measured yet. A drop needs at least two measurements of the same match; the list fills as matches approach.

Tracked matches

Fair odds 1 · X · 2
TimeMatch1X2
21.09
19:00
Werder BremenVfB StuttgartFrauen-Bundesliga2.024.123.80
21.09
20:30
Aldosivi Mar del PlataAtlético TucumanArgentine Primera3.393.112.60
22.09
01:00
Barracas CentralIndependiente RivadaviaArgentine Primera3.493.152.53
22.09
01:30
CriciumaOperario PRBrazil Série B1.833.705.44
22.09
03:15
LanusEstudiantesArgentine Primera2.293.223.94
22.09
03:30
CuiabáNautico PEBrazil Série B2.183.414.01
22.09
19:45
Inter MilanBK HackenUEFA Champions League Women2.553.643.00
22.09
19:45
Bayern MunichManchester CityUEFA Champions League Women2.493.643.08
22.09
22:00
ArsenalHB KøgeUEFA Champions League Women1.198.9222.65
22.09
22:00
JuventusBenficaUEFA Champions League Women1.994.123.92
22.09
22:00
Real MadridParis Saint GermainUEFA Champions League Women2.253.663.53
23.09
19:45
Servette FCLyonUEFA Champions League Women27.4910.081.16
23.09
22:00
ChelseaAustria WienUEFA Champions League Women2.782.943.33
23.09
22:00
BarcelonaParis FCUEFA Champions League Women1.247.9215.33
26.09
01:30
Grêmio NovorizontinoSão BernardoBrazil Série B1.694.205.89
26.09
02:30
Vila NovaLondrinaBrazil Série B1.704.006.24
26.09
22:30
Operario PRCearáBrazil Série B2.263.483.70
26.09
22:30
Nautico PESport RecifeBrazil Série B2.103.823.80
27.09
00:30
GoiásAtletico GoianienseBrazil Série B2.583.133.41
27.09
17:00
CriciumaAvaiBrazil Série B1.743.925.84
27.09
22:00
Clube de Regatas BrasilCuiabáBrazil Série B2.063.574.27
28.09
00:30
FortalezaAthletic Club (MG)Brazil Série B1.763.825.91
29.09
01:30
América MineiroJuventudeBrazil Série B3.513.372.39
30.09
01:30
Botafogo-SPPonte PretaBrazil Série B1.345.8212.10
03.10
01:15
IndependienteInstituto de CórdobaArgentine Primera2.543.243.37
03.10
03:30
Independiente RivadaviaGimnasia La PlataArgentine Primera1.793.795.60
03.10
20:45
Defensa y JusticiaSan LorenzoArgentine Primera2.353.253.74
03.10
23:00
Atlético TucumanBarracas CentralArgentine Primera2.033.245.04
03.10
23:00
Newells Old BoysLanusArgentine Primera3.103.152.78
04.10
01:15
Argentinos JuniorsCA Tigre BAArgentine Primera2.073.304.68
04.10
03:30
Atlético HuracánAldosivi Mar del PlataArgentine Primera1.693.756.98
04.10
23:00
TalleresBelgrano de CordobaArgentine Primera2.943.073.00
05.10
01:15
Boca JuniorsUnion Santa FeArgentine Primera1.733.846.17
05.10
03:30
Estudiantes de Río CuartoRacing ClubArgentine Primera4.773.372.03
05.10
22:45
Deportivo RiestraCentral CórdobaArgentine Primera2.033.255.03
06.10
01:00
EstudiantesGimnasia MendozaArgentine Primera1.773.696.03
06.10
01:00
Velez Sarsfield BAPlatenseArgentine Primera1.993.295.17
06.10
03:15
BanfieldRosario CentralArgentine Primera4.263.392.13
08.10
01:30
Sarmiento de JuninRiver PlateArgentine Primera5.393.521.89
09.10
21:30
Borussia DortmundWerder BremenBundesliga1.455.647.44

Market prices are measured twice a day (09:00 and 17:00); leagues with upcoming matches are picked automatically. Probabilities are not guarantees.

What are dropping odds and how to read them?

What does dropping odds mean?

When an outcome's odds drop, the market has become more confident that it will happen. harbigol measures every match twice a day and lists outcomes whose market price has clearly dropped since the first measurement.

How is the market price calculated?

We take bookmaker prices from around the world, remove each bookmaker's margin and average the remaining probabilities. The result reflects the market consensus rather than one bookmaker. The “fair odds” shown on the site equal 1 ÷ probability.

What is Today's Market Four?

Every morning at 08:00 (Istanbul) we publish the four outcomes the market trusts most across match result, over/under 2.5 and both teams to score, together with the chance of all four happening. It is not a guarantee; the aim is to show transparently what the market thinks.

Where do the over 2.5 and BTTS probabilities come from?

Over/under 2.5 probabilities come from world market prices. The both-teams-to-score probability is calculated from the match-result and over 2.5 probabilities with a Poisson model and is labelled “calculated”.

Does harbigol offer betting?

No. harbigol does not offer betting, takes no bets, links to no betting site and never names bookmakers. Content is for information only and for adults (18+).

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