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October 4, 2026: the 12 matches where the market moved most

· harbigol

These are the matches where the world market's margin-free probability rose most since our first measurement. Biggest move: Real Sociedad B – Granada CF: Granada CF. No odds or bookmakers shown.

Real Sociedad B – Granada CF
soccer_spain_segunda_division
Granada CF33% → 54%
Azerbaijan – Lithuania
soccer_uefa_nations_league
Azerbaijan41% → 62%
Greece – Germany
soccer_uefa_nations_league
Germany45% → 53%
Netherlands – Serbia
soccer_uefa_nations_league
Netherlands74% → 81%
Malta – Andorra
soccer_uefa_nations_league
Malta55% → 60%
Portugal – Norway
soccer_uefa_nations_league
Portugal54% → 58%
Girona FC – Mallorca
soccer_spain_segunda_division
Mallorca29% → 32%
Sporting Gijón – Celta Fortuna
soccer_spain_segunda_division
Draw23% → 26%
Atlético Huracán – Aldosivi Mar del Plata
soccer_argentina_primera_division
Aldosivi Mar del Plata14% → 17%
Las Palmas – Real Valladolid CF
soccer_spain_segunda_division
Real Valladolid CF27% → 30%
Atletico Mineiro – Bragantino-SP
soccer_brazil_campeonato
Atletico Mineiro45% → 48%
Wales – Denmark
soccer_uefa_nations_league
Denmark46% → 48%

Harbigol takes no bets and links to no betting site. For information only; probabilities are not guarantees. 18+

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<a href="https://harbigol.com/en/news/2026-10-04/dusen">October 4, 2026: the 12 matches where the market moved most – harbigol</a>