Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 13.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 3 | 1 | 33% | 72% | 69% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 62.2%6,206 | 54.1%916 | 72.8%13,653 | 70.8%15,454 | 56.7%2,134 | 73.8%14,738 | 71.4%13,089 | 53.2%483 | 45.0%40 | – | 60.3%494 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 32.2%90 | 0.0%4 | – | 32.5%80 | 0.0%32 | 34.8%23 | 42.1%19 | – | – | – | 0.0%8 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 42.6%237 | 30.9%55 | 71.8%4,163 | 52.6%1,252 | 48.4%184 | 60.8%2,213 | 59.2%1,267 | 0.0%4 | 0.0%4 | – | 42.1%19 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 72.6%41,056 | 72.6%8,099 | 73.6%145,857 | 74.6%99,962 | 72.5%20,170 | 75.3%123,253 | 74.1%107,152 | 76.1%144,142 | 75.7%428 | 75.0%52 | 73.8%3,414 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 33.9%56 | 0.0%8 | 72.2%18 | 31.0%129 | 24.2%66 | 32.3%96 | 45.0%20 | 72.7%11 | – | – | 0.0%5 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 47.9%3,063 | 51.7%779 | 57.3%2,699 | 57.7%7,210 | 51.1%1,800 | 60.2%5,551 | 58.0%5,546 | 67.8%3,137 | 26.3%38 | – | 49.2%366 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 55.8%6,057 | 50.6%1,259 | 54.0%1,484 | 59.4%10,183 | 54.6%3,483 | 59.0%7,054 | 59.7%6,902 | 71.4%991 | 55.8%104 | – | 49.1%576 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 33.3%54 | 0.0%9 | 39.6%48 | 27.1%214 | 16.0%50 | 36.1%97 | 36.8%163 | 59.6%47 | 0.0%4 | – | 34.8%23 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 74.7%45,542 | 74.5%8,670 | 74.1%143,918 | 75.2%103,671 | 75.3%22,904 | 75.1%117,672 | 75.6%118,988 | 75.7%139,402 | 75.7%477 | 56.7%30 | 75.3%3,676 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 52.1%4,082 | 55.8%1,310 | 49.6%1,569 | 54.0%6,396 | 52.2%2,688 | 53.7%4,409 | 56.3%4,630 | 53.1%303 | 41.8%91 | 0.0%4 | 54.9%672 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 51.2%3,607 | 51.5%742 | 52.9%1,189 | 54.2%5,272 | 46.0%1,844 | 54.5%3,357 | 51.9%3,336 | 44.5%245 | 63.6%66 | – | 52.8%388 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 68.3%27,686 | 67.3%5,551 | 69.9%63,311 | 69.6%65,074 | 67.8%14,262 | 70.1%75,556 | 69.4%63,090 | 73.0%68,000 | 62.3%342 | 37.5%32 | 66.6%2,320 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 70.4%34,355 | 68.5%6,391 | 69.5%71,176 | 70.6%73,928 | 69.1%17,156 | 70.6%77,535 | 71.3%84,537 | 72.7%78,832 | 69.2%315 | 65.4%26 | 68.1%2,673 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 59.3%3,743 | 41.8%536 | 69.7%6,320 | 67.0%9,529 | 55.0%1,528 | 70.2%7,925 | 65.8%7,258 | 56.6%800 | 40.0%25 | – | 39.5%220 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 61.7%10,451 | 60.6%2,145 | 72.0%28,271 | 66.9%24,506 | 60.8%6,166 | 68.4%27,695 | 68.3%25,362 | 64.4%2,598 | 47.5%120 | – | 59.7%943 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 48.5%198 | 36.7%30 | 65.2%2,553 | 52.2%891 | 51.2%125 | 57.8%1,738 | 44.4%865 | 0.0%8 | 0.0%4 | – | 27.8%36 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 73.7%39,747 | 71.4%6,832 | 74.9%105,212 | 75.2%91,838 | 73.2%18,738 | 75.2%97,589 | 75.3%98,649 | 72.5%63,924 | 77.8%441 | 62.5%32 | 72.5%3,009 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 50.0%2,265 | 48.4%717 | 38.3%462 | 42.8%2,337 | 47.4%1,346 | 44.3%1,125 | 41.5%1,191 | 57.0%79 | 41.4%58 | 0.0%4 | 52.3%384 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 45.8%417 | 52.0%25 | 56.8%199 | 60.2%879 | 57.0%172 | 60.0%220 | 58.3%705 | 40.9%22 | – | – | 60.0%15 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 0.0%12 | – | 53.6%211 | 42.1%38 | 0.0%12 | 58.8%182 | 0.0%33 | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | – | – | – | 0.0%4 | – | – | 0.0%4 | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 46.0%1,587 | 41.7%408 | 42.2%486 | 44.2%2,106 | 46.4%910 | 46.3%1,214 | 44.7%1,207 | 35.2%122 | 0.0%13 | 0.0%5 | 42.8%257 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 0.0%53 | 0.0%13 | 0.0%12 | 0.0%21 | 23.3%43 | 41.7%60 | 16.3%49 | 0.0%4 | – | – | 0.0%4 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds