Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 13.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 3 | 1 | 33% | 72% | 69% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 65.7%2,157 | 61.3%243 | 79.7%3,933 | 75.1%5,434 | 64.3%762 | 77.6%4,606 | 77.5%4,776 | 41.2%68 | 0.0%6 | – | 51.9%135 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 57.9%19 | – | – | 55.6%18 | – | 0.0%3 | 0.0%3 | – | – | – | – |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 40.4%47 | 64.3%14 | 77.9%1,975 | 55.0%360 | 66.2%74 | 66.7%811 | 48.0%304 | – | – | – | 0.0%3 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 73.6%17,277 | 73.5%4,006 | 77.3%24,838 | 77.2%37,662 | 72.7%9,335 | 77.8%39,385 | 76.8%33,725 | 81.9%27,994 | 72.5%255 | 72.4%29 | 74.0%1,767 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 71.4%14 | – | – | 0.0%9 | 0.0%6 | 59.1%22 | 0.0%3 | 0.0%3 | – | – | – |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 56.5%812 | 49.2%177 | 57.0%421 | 60.5%1,709 | 43.3%381 | 66.0%1,089 | 55.7%1,098 | 72.4%659 | 83.3%12 | – | 45.0%80 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 52.7%1,568 | 54.1%342 | 42.0%176 | 59.8%2,316 | 51.1%856 | 57.4%1,373 | 63.5%1,106 | 64.7%156 | 39.3%28 | – | 57.2%166 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 0.0%6 | – | 68.8%16 | 0.0%10 | 0.0%3 | 47.6%21 | 37.9%29 | 61.1%18 | – | – | 0.0%3 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 76.0%21,608 | 75.7%4,610 | 72.7%15,963 | 77.3%42,136 | 76.5%12,044 | 77.8%38,251 | 78.0%42,549 | 81.7%25,770 | 69.2%266 | 64.3%14 | 72.1%2,014 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 45.6%871 | 55.7%361 | 61.3%331 | 53.3%1,326 | 55.6%651 | 60.6%748 | 53.7%871 | 73.2%41 | 61.1%18 | – | 60.3%229 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 43.2%766 | 32.4%170 | 40.4%178 | 51.2%988 | 58.6%461 | 59.3%727 | 56.8%482 | 52.8%36 | 0.0%15 | – | 47.8%113 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 68.7%9,565 | 67.1%2,192 | 73.4%8,108 | 70.8%17,978 | 68.2%5,442 | 71.9%14,379 | 71.5%14,193 | 75.6%5,066 | 69.0%155 | 0.0%4 | 71.2%995 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 70.8%12,341 | 67.7%2,751 | 69.8%5,238 | 71.1%19,678 | 70.2%7,264 | 71.0%14,639 | 71.4%15,652 | 75.9%2,025 | 60.4%134 | 64.3%14 | 70.4%1,233 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 58.8%1,159 | 43.8%96 | 79.0%1,076 | 70.8%2,663 | 57.1%436 | 73.3%1,502 | 70.1%2,048 | 69.5%82 | 0.0%3 | – | 41.3%46 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 61.8%3,435 | 60.2%731 | 77.7%7,054 | 68.2%7,342 | 62.7%2,062 | 71.7%7,443 | 71.8%7,094 | 60.6%175 | 74.4%39 | – | 60.5%349 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 40.0%50 | 0.0%3 | 72.5%601 | 46.5%217 | 0.0%21 | 65.3%567 | 47.1%136 | – | – | – | 90.9%11 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 76.5%18,838 | 74.3%3,514 | 81.4%23,208 | 78.1%37,128 | 75.2%9,278 | 79.1%33,232 | 78.7%33,928 | 73.7%1,732 | 69.2%253 | 83.3%24 | 72.1%1,559 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 46.3%505 | 30.6%121 | 42.0%50 | 46.3%423 | 53.8%316 | 49.4%170 | 42.8%152 | 0.0%6 | 62.5%16 | – | 22.6%84 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 60.0%115 | 0.0%4 | 67.7%31 | 57.5%179 | 53.8%52 | 62.8%43 | 61.7%201 | 81.8%11 | – | – | 81.8%11 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | – | – | 51.7%60 | 0.0%6 | – | 44.4%45 | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 42.7%314 | 58.0%88 | 58.1%74 | 31.6%323 | 37.3%161 | 49.8%231 | 36.3%212 | 0.0%11 | – | – | 72.1%86 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | – | – | – | – | 0.0%3 | 0.0%9 | 0.0%3 | – | – | – | – |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds