Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 57.2%38,343 | 51.2%17,549 | 66.8%33,607 | 62.7%41,885 | 54.4%29,363 | 64.5%37,345 | 64.6%36,789 | 57.1%3,584 | 51.0%6,273 | 47.4%1,360 | 51.0%10,651 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 30.2%6,054 | 28.4%4,713 | 23.9%289 | 27.6%2,165 | 27.3%6,093 | 26.7%963 | 21.8%884 | 18.5%54 | 28.2%1,951 | 34.9%610 | 29.4%3,170 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 38.9%9,263 | 34.4%5,617 | 65.1%10,568 | 52.7%12,394 | 39.6%8,424 | 58.8%10,945 | 55.9%10,308 | 30.1%176 | 30.9%2,010 | 34.5%583 | 34.9%3,571 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 72.9%113,502 | 71.9%45,632 | 73.3%197,793 | 73.6%169,345 | 72.9%79,353 | 73.7%180,880 | 73.4%176,909 | 73.6%200,161 | 72.5%13,528 | 71.8%3,237 | 72.1%26,487 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 28.2%6,681 | 27.3%5,307 | 28.1%335 | 30.2%2,875 | 30.7%7,198 | 33.7%1,637 | 25.0%1,143 | 41.8%79 | 27.6%2,057 | 30.2%567 | 29.3%3,401 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 50.9%36,244 | 48.4%18,172 | 55.6%18,903 | 55.8%40,016 | 50.8%29,435 | 56.9%32,027 | 56.3%31,436 | 62.9%20,505 | 49.9%6,705 | 49.5%1,582 | 47.1%11,175 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 54.0%46,469 | 54.2%24,274 | 53.7%15,985 | 55.2%48,624 | 54.0%38,193 | 57.2%37,184 | 56.1%41,896 | 61.7%24,841 | 53.7%7,690 | 53.4%1,980 | 53.5%14,571 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 31.1%6,655 | 30.6%4,119 | 39.9%755 | 37.2%4,879 | 31.2%6,522 | 38.3%2,103 | 39.2%3,611 | 48.8%850 | 26.8%1,823 | 30.0%444 | 27.6%2,615 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 74.3%115,715 | 75.2%48,060 | 72.8%191,291 | 73.8%165,833 | 74.4%81,605 | 73.5%175,207 | 73.7%172,384 | 73.2%191,342 | 73.7%13,926 | 75.8%3,472 | 74.8%27,829 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 51.0%41,398 | 51.0%21,843 | 52.8%14,200 | 53.4%41,207 | 51.7%34,402 | 53.2%30,718 | 54.5%32,709 | 53.5%5,006 | 52.7%7,746 | 54.8%1,902 | 52.5%13,572 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 50.4%38,094 | 49.9%20,126 | 52.5%10,710 | 51.5%35,238 | 50.5%31,903 | 53.6%24,818 | 52.3%26,463 | 52.2%3,471 | 49.8%6,635 | 50.7%1,602 | 50.5%12,244 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 67.8%100,097 | 67.0%40,489 | 68.2%189,138 | 68.6%151,003 | 67.6%70,281 | 68.7%165,583 | 68.4%158,698 | 68.6%194,889 | 68.5%12,400 | 67.7%2,949 | 67.3%23,471 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 69.7%105,553 | 70.3%43,522 | 68.6%183,020 | 69.1%152,376 | 69.9%74,422 | 69.0%162,719 | 69.0%160,229 | 68.9%184,896 | 69.3%12,624 | 69.2%3,028 | 69.9%25,181 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 52.9%30,237 | 47.2%14,761 | 63.6%22,289 | 58.7%32,659 | 51.4%24,146 | 62.0%25,990 | 61.4%26,593 | 56.4%5,260 | 46.0%5,554 | 43.6%1,204 | 45.8%9,110 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 60.8%60,839 | 58.9%29,190 | 67.4%87,030 | 64.6%83,063 | 60.4%47,585 | 65.7%82,871 | 65.6%83,630 | 62.8%71,039 | 57.5%8,881 | 58.5%2,333 | 58.7%17,431 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 38.2%9,941 | 33.2%6,064 | 62.7%8,116 | 50.1%11,302 | 36.2%9,030 | 55.8%9,672 | 52.0%9,130 | 34.1%334 | 32.9%2,382 | 34.3%653 | 31.7%4,058 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 72.5%108,439 | 71.4%43,741 | 71.9%162,734 | 72.1%149,801 | 72.0%75,566 | 71.9%154,011 | 72.0%153,884 | 68.4%193,522 | 71.4%13,169 | 71.1%3,120 | 71.3%25,205 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 45.9%29,920 | 47.2%17,396 | 44.3%4,618 | 46.2%22,304 | 45.6%25,874 | 45.2%11,787 | 44.6%13,590 | 43.1%863 | 45.7%6,184 | 45.7%1,565 | 47.5%10,921 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 39.4%8,952 | 32.0%5,028 | 55.9%2,284 | 46.6%5,501 | 37.5%8,180 | 51.4%3,040 | 47.9%4,310 | 40.1%374 | 33.3%2,147 | 30.6%470 | 32.0%3,210 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 24.6%2,333 | 20.5%1,398 | 46.8%1,324 | 37.6%2,809 | 24.8%2,270 | 41.6%2,111 | 40.8%2,333 | 21.8%55 | 18.5%556 | 25.8%186 | 20.3%938 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 15.5%1,913 | 18.9%1,697 | 0.0%52 | 15.6%537 | 16.9%2,107 | 20.7%266 | 19.4%227 | 0.0%5 | 19.2%714 | 24.5%229 | 19.8%1,178 |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | 7.0%43 | 0.0%32 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%9 | 0.0%29 | – | 0.0%6 | – | 0.0%8 | 0.0%4 | 0.0%20 |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | 0.0%16 | 0.0%16 | 0.0%7 | 0.0%18 | 0.0%25 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%13 | – | 0.0%6 | 0.0%4 | 0.0%10 |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | 6.2%144 | 4.1%148 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%32 | 0.0%172 | 18.8%16 | 0.0%17 | – | 12.0%50 | 12.5%24 | 5.5%109 |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | 3.9%102 | 11.8%102 | – | 0.0%31 | 2.2%134 | 0.0%12 | 0.0%26 | – | 9.4%32 | 25.0%12 | 16.0%75 |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 44.5%26,973 | 43.8%15,772 | 45.5%4,810 | 45.7%20,700 | 44.7%23,729 | 45.8%11,047 | 45.7%13,640 | 50.1%1,807 | 45.4%5,581 | 44.5%1,367 | 44.0%9,912 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 29.0%6,817 | 30.1%5,054 | 23.1%494 | 26.8%3,152 | 28.2%7,014 | 28.4%1,304 | 30.7%1,928 | 18.3%109 | 25.1%2,056 | 28.4%528 | 28.1%3,317 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds