Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 58.1%28,915 | 51.7%14,111 | 70.3%21,427 | 65.2%28,626 | 55.5%22,879 | 68.6%23,652 | 67.8%24,368 | 60.3%1,594 | 51.4%5,461 | 48.8%1,233 | 50.8%8,939 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 29.7%4,488 | 29.0%3,807 | 28.5%165 | 25.8%1,413 | 27.5%4,600 | 26.2%558 | 21.9%593 | 0.0%18 | 28.2%1,651 | 35.1%550 | 29.1%2,663 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 39.7%7,057 | 33.1%4,593 | 67.8%7,389 | 55.7%8,802 | 41.3%6,643 | 61.6%7,609 | 58.3%7,156 | 25.3%95 | 29.8%1,704 | 35.0%506 | 34.8%2,974 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 72.9%100,632 | 72.3%41,284 | 73.6%189,009 | 74.0%149,715 | 72.9%71,037 | 74.1%162,402 | 73.8%156,597 | 74.0%187,855 | 72.7%12,601 | 71.9%3,110 | 72.1%24,189 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 30.2%4,941 | 27.8%4,160 | 36.0%228 | 28.2%1,798 | 29.7%5,500 | 31.7%941 | 26.6%753 | 35.8%53 | 27.1%1,718 | 29.5%512 | 29.4%2,790 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 50.9%25,566 | 48.9%14,198 | 57.9%8,069 | 55.8%24,450 | 51.1%22,298 | 56.1%16,174 | 57.7%18,180 | 67.1%8,690 | 49.2%5,762 | 49.6%1,396 | 47.3%9,104 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 54.3%32,986 | 53.5%19,340 | 53.8%5,145 | 56.0%27,578 | 54.2%28,991 | 58.5%19,394 | 57.4%19,457 | 63.3%5,212 | 53.3%6,693 | 54.8%1,819 | 53.2%12,033 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 31.0%4,982 | 30.5%3,438 | 41.5%468 | 36.0%3,176 | 32.5%5,230 | 35.9%1,177 | 37.8%2,392 | 52.4%460 | 26.1%1,550 | 30.8%393 | 26.9%2,207 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 74.4%104,533 | 74.9%44,221 | 73.4%176,968 | 74.3%148,249 | 74.6%74,437 | 74.3%156,508 | 74.0%155,788 | 74.2%175,795 | 73.9%13,073 | 76.3%3,332 | 74.7%25,791 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 51.1%29,115 | 51.2%17,269 | 51.2%5,774 | 54.8%24,060 | 51.7%25,898 | 54.3%14,131 | 53.8%16,472 | 55.0%1,426 | 52.1%6,626 | 55.3%1,727 | 51.7%11,202 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 50.7%26,803 | 50.2%15,860 | 53.1%4,271 | 52.2%20,193 | 50.7%23,886 | 51.1%11,463 | 52.8%13,249 | 48.3%945 | 50.5%5,785 | 51.6%1,464 | 50.6%10,142 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 68.0%82,785 | 67.1%35,186 | 68.9%150,065 | 69.4%119,373 | 68.1%60,034 | 69.2%130,354 | 69.0%120,323 | 69.8%153,672 | 68.8%11,241 | 67.6%2,753 | 67.2%20,809 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 69.8%89,404 | 70.5%38,613 | 69.2%153,610 | 69.5%124,164 | 69.8%64,961 | 69.8%129,239 | 69.8%131,747 | 69.5%151,881 | 69.4%11,542 | 69.3%2,827 | 69.8%22,597 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 54.0%22,307 | 48.4%11,813 | 66.9%12,822 | 61.4%21,254 | 52.4%19,076 | 64.1%15,698 | 62.3%16,901 | 62.5%1,987 | 46.3%4,795 | 43.1%1,087 | 46.2%7,526 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 61.7%46,335 | 58.8%23,944 | 69.3%53,988 | 65.7%56,768 | 61.0%37,833 | 68.1%54,462 | 67.7%54,449 | 63.3%17,288 | 57.1%7,869 | 58.6%2,176 | 58.8%14,788 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 39.5%7,527 | 32.8%4,940 | 61.3%5,177 | 51.3%7,943 | 37.7%7,005 | 57.2%6,287 | 53.0%6,342 | 38.5%205 | 31.7%1,990 | 35.1%582 | 32.0%3,283 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 72.8%95,400 | 71.4%39,086 | 73.1%139,622 | 73.1%129,521 | 72.5%67,052 | 73.3%131,568 | 73.1%133,990 | 69.4%160,810 | 71.7%12,252 | 71.2%2,931 | 71.9%22,964 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 46.7%20,830 | 47.2%13,704 | 42.7%2,074 | 46.6%12,651 | 46.0%18,874 | 45.4%5,282 | 43.9%6,868 | 53.3%482 | 45.6%5,205 | 45.5%1,406 | 48.0%8,923 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 40.2%6,561 | 32.3%4,031 | 56.7%1,086 | 48.6%3,154 | 36.8%6,380 | 44.8%1,172 | 49.5%2,467 | 50.0%260 | 33.3%1,939 | 29.1%426 | 32.6%2,679 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 24.7%1,827 | 19.7%1,221 | 47.3%789 | 40.0%2,132 | 26.2%1,836 | 42.0%1,385 | 41.2%1,709 | 20.5%39 | 15.9%485 | 24.6%179 | 19.1%817 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 15.3%1,499 | 18.5%1,409 | 0.0%40 | 18.1%403 | 17.0%1,644 | 14.9%181 | 18.6%177 | 0.0%2 | 20.6%647 | 24.1%216 | 18.9%1,021 |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | 7.5%40 | 0.0%32 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%6 | 0.0%26 | – | 0.0%6 | – | 0.0%8 | 0.0%4 | 0.0%20 |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | 0.0%16 | 0.0%16 | 0.0%4 | 0.0%18 | 0.0%22 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%10 | – | 0.0%6 | 0.0%4 | 0.0%10 |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | 7.0%129 | 4.5%133 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%32 | 0.0%138 | 18.8%16 | 0.0%14 | – | 12.0%50 | 12.5%24 | 6.0%100 |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | 4.4%90 | 11.8%102 | – | 0.0%28 | 2.3%128 | 0.0%6 | 0.0%20 | – | 11.5%26 | 25.0%12 | 16.7%72 |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 44.6%18,844 | 43.5%12,290 | 44.5%2,177 | 46.5%11,895 | 45.3%17,451 | 44.3%5,342 | 45.8%7,232 | 47.9%766 | 46.5%4,777 | 45.4%1,229 | 44.6%8,091 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 29.0%4,992 | 30.7%4,104 | 24.4%262 | 27.4%2,107 | 29.1%5,379 | 28.9%750 | 30.5%1,376 | 17.1%76 | 25.5%1,782 | 29.9%488 | 30.4%2,726 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds