Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 60.4%18,834 | 52.5%7,933 | 72.5%14,259 | 68.8%19,324 | 58.0%14,096 | 72.4%15,737 | 70.3%15,653 | 58.6%860 | 54.2%2,827 | 48.6%539 | 53.6%4,810 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 29.1%1,658 | 30.6%1,231 | 17.2%58 | 25.4%563 | 29.5%1,642 | 31.9%232 | 23.3%219 | 0.0%7 | 27.8%492 | 21.1%166 | 26.8%841 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 42.1%3,359 | 36.4%1,808 | 70.0%5,171 | 56.6%5,556 | 45.5%3,081 | 63.2%5,140 | 62.1%4,838 | 25.0%48 | 33.5%556 | 35.2%165 | 35.9%1,096 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 73.2%80,105 | 72.4%31,412 | 73.7%149,145 | 74.8%120,603 | 73.1%56,270 | 75.3%131,596 | 74.6%120,168 | 76.2%145,196 | 73.3%9,117 | 73.5%2,155 | 72.6%18,197 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 31.5%1,856 | 28.6%1,380 | 38.3%94 | 29.6%786 | 30.8%2,070 | 33.1%423 | 22.3%233 | 47.1%17 | 26.5%513 | 41.6%154 | 26.7%862 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 51.1%14,924 | 49.7%7,697 | 56.8%3,777 | 56.4%13,963 | 52.5%12,961 | 58.4%8,203 | 58.6%10,577 | 68.6%3,792 | 50.1%2,931 | 51.0%671 | 47.6%4,623 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 55.0%20,438 | 53.8%11,251 | 53.1%2,238 | 57.1%16,010 | 55.0%17,786 | 57.9%9,678 | 56.3%9,376 | 70.5%1,098 | 53.7%3,581 | 55.2%921 | 52.6%6,760 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 30.7%1,974 | 34.5%1,166 | 42.6%235 | 37.2%1,474 | 33.3%1,960 | 39.6%571 | 36.1%1,174 | 53.0%268 | 31.5%435 | 31.2%109 | 28.9%637 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 74.6%85,653 | 74.9%35,107 | 74.0%146,477 | 74.9%121,991 | 74.8%60,539 | 75.1%125,537 | 75.1%127,855 | 75.7%139,730 | 74.1%9,552 | 75.5%2,389 | 75.1%20,108 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 50.7%17,019 | 52.0%9,723 | 51.8%2,514 | 54.6%13,290 | 51.8%15,002 | 53.4%6,741 | 56.1%8,834 | 50.7%515 | 53.3%3,620 | 58.2%953 | 51.8%6,323 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 51.7%15,686 | 50.3%8,703 | 52.9%2,114 | 51.8%10,694 | 51.0%13,810 | 53.6%5,906 | 50.8%6,315 | 46.7%458 | 53.6%2,943 | 51.9%700 | 50.8%5,311 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 68.5%59,890 | 67.6%25,010 | 69.9%65,932 | 69.8%82,001 | 68.2%44,042 | 70.1%82,463 | 69.9%73,718 | 73.1%68,881 | 69.1%7,766 | 68.5%1,818 | 67.3%14,389 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 70.3%68,107 | 70.3%28,498 | 69.5%73,351 | 70.2%89,161 | 69.8%49,162 | 70.5%84,073 | 70.8%92,277 | 72.6%79,169 | 69.5%7,855 | 68.1%1,841 | 69.3%16,367 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 56.3%13,729 | 49.3%6,190 | 68.7%6,899 | 63.5%13,040 | 54.9%11,150 | 67.9%8,693 | 64.5%9,851 | 59.1%1,186 | 48.2%2,313 | 46.6%464 | 49.9%3,707 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 62.6%31,088 | 59.9%15,220 | 72.0%30,519 | 68.0%38,102 | 62.1%25,196 | 69.6%34,863 | 69.4%33,378 | 63.9%2,809 | 56.8%4,466 | 58.6%1,216 | 60.2%9,175 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 41.3%3,459 | 33.9%1,888 | 63.8%3,390 | 52.3%4,648 | 41.7%3,127 | 60.8%4,140 | 53.8%3,941 | 57.4%115 | 33.4%644 | 37.3%204 | 32.0%1,148 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 73.4%75,792 | 72.5%29,571 | 74.8%107,016 | 74.5%104,312 | 73.1%52,861 | 75.0%101,934 | 74.8%104,460 | 72.5%64,454 | 72.0%8,707 | 71.7%2,008 | 72.8%17,107 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 47.1%11,664 | 46.8%7,180 | 40.3%1,023 | 44.4%6,454 | 46.4%10,145 | 45.0%2,797 | 43.5%3,311 | 51.1%174 | 44.4%2,420 | 42.9%624 | 49.8%4,620 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 42.0%3,214 | 34.9%1,517 | 50.7%363 | 54.3%1,696 | 40.6%2,883 | 51.1%401 | 52.0%1,267 | 51.0%151 | 37.2%653 | 29.8%104 | 37.8%960 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 26.2%580 | 23.6%288 | 46.6%408 | 41.8%975 | 32.4%555 | 47.1%794 | 43.7%876 | 44.4%18 | 23.8%84 | 20.5%39 | 18.9%159 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 16.1%335 | 27.6%312 | 0.0%6 | 20.4%103 | 18.3%405 | 19.7%61 | 16.7%48 | – | 19.5%123 | 33.3%48 | 19.9%226 |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | 0.0%1 | 0.0%4 | – | 0.0%2 | – | – | 0.0%2 | – | – | 0.0%2 | 0.0%2 |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | 0.0%2 | – | – | – | 0.0%2 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | 0.0%9 | 0.0%4 | – | 0.0%2 | 0.0%10 | 0.0%3 | 0.0%2 | – | 0.0%2 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%4 |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | 50.0%8 | 0.0%8 | – | 0.0%2 | 0.0%15 | – | – | – | 0.0%1 | 0.0%3 | 0.0%6 |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 44.8%10,189 | 42.2%6,027 | 43.9%1,076 | 45.4%6,399 | 44.5%9,189 | 45.1%2,877 | 44.7%3,717 | 38.0%342 | 46.5%2,173 | 46.0%526 | 42.0%3,796 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 26.8%1,809 | 31.2%1,396 | 19.1%94 | 27.4%820 | 31.0%1,964 | 32.4%380 | 34.1%578 | 20.0%20 | 21.6%509 | 35.3%116 | 30.4%882 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds