Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 63.6%9,816 | 54.7%4,451 | 78.9%4,312 | 71.7%7,687 | 60.2%8,056 | 76.1%5,154 | 75.3%6,379 | 60.0%300 | 56.5%1,780 | 57.8%358 | 53.6%2,707 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 27.9%738 | 29.2%578 | 0.0%22 | 26.7%202 | 26.2%660 | 19.5%87 | 17.2%64 | 0.0%2 | 28.0%232 | 6.6%76 | 25.1%379 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 43.8%1,652 | 37.8%846 | 75.4%2,607 | 60.7%3,023 | 48.5%1,623 | 68.0%2,609 | 63.3%2,579 | 22.2%18 | 33.9%280 | 42.4%99 | 36.6%573 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 74.4%45,098 | 73.0%20,656 | 77.3%27,118 | 76.9%52,199 | 73.5%35,083 | 77.7%45,248 | 77.3%43,412 | 82.1%28,876 | 73.8%6,837 | 73.8%1,571 | 72.9%12,409 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 33.1%777 | 31.5%650 | 39.4%33 | 35.5%290 | 32.2%953 | 36.6%164 | 27.8%97 | 0.0%9 | 25.8%233 | 38.5%78 | 28.2%429 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 53.5%7,415 | 51.0%4,086 | 58.0%1,048 | 57.2%5,513 | 54.2%6,824 | 62.1%2,578 | 58.1%4,078 | 73.3%1,107 | 49.8%1,727 | 52.6%407 | 49.8%2,464 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 54.4%9,517 | 54.2%6,260 | 49.9%533 | 56.3%5,391 | 55.2%9,124 | 58.7%2,787 | 56.1%2,358 | 58.9%207 | 52.1%2,193 | 52.4%538 | 53.9%3,901 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 34.2%931 | 35.0%557 | 49.0%143 | 39.2%643 | 36.1%887 | 35.4%240 | 34.2%512 | 45.2%126 | 37.6%226 | 31.0%58 | 31.1%302 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 75.4%50,185 | 75.3%24,162 | 72.5%17,578 | 76.7%54,680 | 75.5%39,468 | 77.5%43,645 | 77.1%48,353 | 81.6%26,020 | 74.0%7,139 | 75.2%1,807 | 74.7%14,207 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 50.4%7,824 | 52.8%5,139 | 59.2%822 | 54.2%4,969 | 52.7%7,552 | 56.9%1,956 | 56.1%3,296 | 56.7%157 | 55.8%2,237 | 59.3%607 | 52.9%3,428 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 49.8%7,189 | 50.4%4,773 | 48.2%608 | 48.5%3,772 | 54.0%7,274 | 55.7%2,046 | 51.9%2,073 | 50.3%149 | 52.7%1,746 | 54.0%430 | 50.7%3,062 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 69.1%30,725 | 68.0%15,425 | 73.4%9,877 | 71.2%29,229 | 68.7%25,453 | 71.5%18,749 | 72.1%21,428 | 75.9%5,733 | 68.8%5,458 | 68.6%1,252 | 68.4%9,338 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 70.0%34,806 | 70.4%18,301 | 68.8%6,485 | 70.8%29,559 | 70.3%29,111 | 70.7%18,763 | 69.9%20,264 | 74.5%2,239 | 69.5%5,720 | 69.1%1,328 | 70.3%10,879 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 58.1%6,959 | 50.2%3,252 | 75.7%1,422 | 65.0%4,601 | 57.5%6,146 | 69.2%1,897 | 67.0%3,586 | 69.3%326 | 52.3%1,371 | 52.9%280 | 49.6%1,961 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 63.9%16,277 | 61.4%8,941 | 77.1%8,554 | 70.0%16,491 | 63.2%13,954 | 73.6%12,522 | 72.3%12,560 | 60.3%310 | 57.5%2,889 | 58.7%768 | 60.6%5,540 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 41.4%1,709 | 34.4%896 | 67.2%1,078 | 53.2%2,382 | 43.1%1,522 | 63.1%1,972 | 55.7%1,911 | 61.1%54 | 37.8%357 | 50.4%119 | 35.2%557 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 75.0%44,092 | 73.9%19,982 | 81.1%24,364 | 76.7%45,062 | 74.2%33,690 | 78.6%36,068 | 77.5%37,539 | 73.0%2,055 | 72.1%6,361 | 72.4%1,480 | 73.1%11,768 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 46.9%5,276 | 46.6%3,692 | 44.1%279 | 45.7%2,434 | 46.0%4,947 | 44.3%929 | 44.8%1,175 | 27.9%61 | 45.2%1,380 | 49.7%372 | 48.4%2,464 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 46.0%1,554 | 36.2%738 | 54.2%118 | 52.5%577 | 39.3%1,401 | 50.0%138 | 53.0%462 | 55.3%76 | 39.8%329 | 34.8%66 | 41.6%474 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 25.4%232 | 29.0%124 | 39.0%141 | 45.8%504 | 35.5%242 | 43.0%328 | 50.1%459 | 57.1%7 | 20.0%40 | 21.1%19 | 18.9%74 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 10.5%114 | 21.1%133 | – | 16.7%30 | 12.3%138 | 0.0%16 | 0.0%13 | – | 8.3%48 | 0.0%18 | 18.1%94 |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | 0.0%1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | 0.0%3 | 0.0%2 | – | – | – | 0.0%1 | – | – | 0.0%2 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%2 |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | 100.0%4 | 0.0%4 | – | – | 0.0%1 | – | – | – | 0.0%1 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%4 |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 45.7%4,798 | 42.4%3,021 | 49.3%351 | 44.9%2,375 | 44.3%4,491 | 42.3%959 | 47.3%1,519 | 27.7%112 | 47.1%1,279 | 47.9%303 | 43.0%2,000 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 30.3%805 | 32.1%673 | 34.1%41 | 32.7%339 | 31.3%822 | 31.9%138 | 38.9%252 | 0.0%4 | 25.0%216 | 32.8%64 | 30.4%395 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds