Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 63.6%5,800 | 56.6%3,017 | 81.0%1,740 | 76.6%4,303 | 60.8%5,202 | 76.7%2,130 | 75.5%3,251 | 68.8%173 | 58.3%1,333 | 56.9%290 | 54.7%1,895 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 25.5%411 | 32.1%402 | 0.0%12 | 28.4%95 | 31.3%441 | 26.7%45 | 0.0%30 | – | 32.0%172 | 7.8%64 | 27.1%277 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 46.0%1,022 | 38.2%558 | 72.3%1,118 | 64.5%1,832 | 49.0%1,096 | 70.0%1,580 | 67.2%1,644 | 40.0%10 | 33.8%207 | 46.2%80 | 36.6%391 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 75.2%28,421 | 74.0%14,703 | 78.0%8,564 | 78.0%28,286 | 74.3%23,396 | 79.0%19,474 | 78.3%20,712 | 84.6%9,083 | 73.7%5,247 | 73.4%1,303 | 73.5%9,271 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 31.0%474 | 34.5%435 | 52.0%25 | 34.7%144 | 32.3%567 | 27.8%72 | 30.2%53 | 0.0%2 | 30.9%178 | 44.1%68 | 32.7%306 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 52.7%4,283 | 52.7%2,774 | 59.9%484 | 57.2%2,754 | 55.1%4,213 | 59.5%1,161 | 58.9%2,111 | 74.3%552 | 53.4%1,286 | 55.4%312 | 49.2%1,707 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 55.4%5,484 | 54.7%4,085 | 50.0%248 | 57.8%2,533 | 55.5%5,546 | 57.5%1,187 | 48.5%955 | 55.0%60 | 53.9%1,554 | 49.8%454 | 54.7%2,626 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 34.6%537 | 39.4%419 | 51.5%66 | 38.9%339 | 32.5%590 | 39.0%118 | 36.8%269 | 57.7%78 | 36.4%165 | 27.7%47 | 36.7%229 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 75.5%31,538 | 75.8%17,328 | 71.0%4,404 | 77.3%27,035 | 75.6%26,672 | 78.1%18,226 | 77.2%19,350 | 81.3%2,774 | 74.9%5,612 | 75.3%1,541 | 75.1%10,536 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 50.4%4,411 | 52.8%3,361 | 54.5%398 | 51.5%2,392 | 53.1%4,559 | 57.2%989 | 57.6%1,680 | 62.0%79 | 56.4%1,579 | 57.1%459 | 50.9%2,275 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 50.4%4,176 | 51.2%3,085 | 48.5%301 | 48.1%1,828 | 53.7%4,480 | 52.3%945 | 54.6%1,050 | 51.5%68 | 52.1%1,278 | 51.7%348 | 49.8%2,012 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 69.8%19,038 | 68.9%10,601 | 73.5%3,814 | 72.1%14,588 | 69.0%16,379 | 70.2%7,399 | 73.5%10,224 | 77.0%1,732 | 69.8%4,175 | 68.2%1,029 | 68.8%6,754 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 70.1%21,062 | 71.4%12,760 | 66.5%2,266 | 70.9%13,896 | 70.4%18,492 | 72.1%7,659 | 68.6%7,588 | 76.3%653 | 70.4%4,352 | 70.0%1,093 | 70.8%7,923 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 58.7%4,136 | 49.4%2,170 | 71.7%547 | 66.1%2,290 | 58.4%3,918 | 70.6%712 | 69.4%1,935 | 62.2%172 | 55.3%1,017 | 49.3%205 | 50.6%1,409 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 64.0%9,793 | 62.2%5,970 | 79.2%4,116 | 71.2%9,017 | 64.2%8,939 | 74.8%6,818 | 72.8%6,666 | 71.1%173 | 57.4%2,020 | 55.6%602 | 61.5%3,837 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 41.6%1,064 | 35.2%594 | 66.2%541 | 58.0%1,437 | 43.8%968 | 65.2%1,149 | 56.9%1,115 | 58.1%31 | 44.4%270 | 51.5%97 | 32.2%385 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 75.3%27,767 | 74.5%14,174 | 80.6%8,407 | 78.7%22,908 | 74.4%22,591 | 80.4%15,451 | 78.8%16,238 | 72.4%707 | 72.2%4,870 | 72.7%1,246 | 73.7%8,807 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 45.9%2,880 | 48.4%2,377 | 43.9%139 | 45.2%1,229 | 45.2%2,921 | 48.7%491 | 40.3%576 | 46.2%26 | 44.6%935 | 48.6%278 | 48.4%1,691 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 46.2%915 | 37.8%497 | 32.0%50 | 49.6%278 | 38.1%812 | 48.1%52 | 51.9%216 | 42.9%42 | 41.3%269 | 41.1%56 | 38.6%347 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 29.1%165 | 27.5%91 | 20.0%40 | 48.1%310 | 39.2%194 | 31.9%141 | 56.1%280 | 80.0%5 | 26.7%30 | 23.5%17 | 23.3%60 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 15.8%76 | 24.5%94 | – | 0.0%19 | 18.5%92 | 0.0%8 | 0.0%7 | – | 9.5%42 | 0.0%16 | 24.3%70 |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | 0.0%1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | 0.0%3 | 0.0%2 | – | – | – | 0.0%1 | – | – | 0.0%2 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%2 |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | 100.0%4 | 0.0%4 | – | – | 0.0%1 | – | – | – | 0.0%1 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%4 |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 46.9%2,688 | 42.8%1,930 | 53.4%176 | 44.2%1,200 | 42.5%2,673 | 44.2%466 | 50.5%757 | 43.5%46 | 44.9%902 | 43.7%238 | 40.5%1,313 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 29.8%494 | 28.5%452 | 21.1%19 | 36.5%192 | 29.9%551 | 39.4%71 | 40.3%139 | 0.0%4 | 21.0%162 | 28.1%57 | 30.0%313 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds