Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 64.6%4,497 | 55.2%2,603 | 84.2%831 | 74.7%2,404 | 60.9%4,276 | 78.8%857 | 74.8%1,777 | 71.4%133 | 56.5%1,219 | 56.2%281 | 55.5%1,726 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 24.4%373 | 32.7%394 | 0.0%10 | 24.1%79 | 31.2%420 | 29.3%41 | 0.0%30 | – | 32.7%168 | 8.1%62 | 27.3%275 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 47.0%909 | 40.0%532 | 72.0%529 | 64.0%1,487 | 48.2%1,002 | 69.9%1,058 | 66.2%1,250 | 40.0%10 | 35.9%195 | 46.2%80 | 37.1%385 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 75.7%20,052 | 73.6%11,912 | 76.1%3,310 | 78.5%15,811 | 74.8%17,705 | 79.3%8,164 | 79.6%11,051 | 84.3%2,170 | 73.6%4,759 | 74.3%1,226 | 73.6%7,741 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 31.5%445 | 34.0%420 | 56.5%23 | 34.4%125 | 33.1%553 | 26.0%50 | 19.6%46 | 0.0%2 | 30.9%178 | 45.5%66 | 33.1%302 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 51.8%3,391 | 52.1%2,480 | 58.7%298 | 54.5%1,876 | 54.8%3,602 | 57.9%711 | 59.7%1,499 | 71.6%341 | 53.6%1,182 | 56.2%308 | 49.4%1,592 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 55.8%4,221 | 55.2%3,603 | 42.8%145 | 55.8%1,668 | 55.6%4,500 | 55.8%730 | 44.6%614 | 68.4%38 | 54.8%1,459 | 51.4%424 | 54.1%2,329 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 35.5%501 | 39.5%397 | 33.3%39 | 38.0%292 | 33.4%574 | 46.9%98 | 35.6%219 | 66.2%68 | 37.3%161 | 27.7%47 | 37.0%227 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 75.5%21,574 | 75.8%13,992 | 69.7%1,671 | 76.4%14,243 | 75.4%19,966 | 78.4%7,786 | 76.0%7,445 | 83.7%759 | 75.1%5,105 | 75.7%1,391 | 75.6%8,988 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 51.9%3,588 | 51.8%2,932 | 52.6%230 | 53.8%1,749 | 53.7%3,835 | 54.2%559 | 56.8%1,181 | 62.5%64 | 55.9%1,459 | 57.0%435 | 51.6%2,053 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 49.9%3,271 | 51.0%2,747 | 54.8%210 | 46.6%1,298 | 53.5%3,776 | 49.9%589 | 55.5%767 | 60.3%58 | 53.2%1,223 | 52.3%331 | 49.1%1,822 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 70.1%13,474 | 68.1%8,633 | 73.6%1,726 | 72.5%8,557 | 68.9%12,548 | 70.8%3,497 | 75.2%5,899 | 76.9%685 | 69.4%3,741 | 68.2%941 | 68.3%5,703 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 70.2%14,613 | 71.5%10,424 | 65.6%897 | 72.1%8,028 | 71.0%14,103 | 74.1%3,968 | 67.5%3,624 | 76.3%215 | 70.2%3,936 | 69.1%1,016 | 70.6%6,648 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 58.0%3,226 | 50.0%1,968 | 62.5%240 | 57.9%1,241 | 57.9%3,297 | 55.2%239 | 68.7%1,072 | 65.7%137 | 55.2%953 | 50.2%201 | 52.1%1,311 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 64.3%7,357 | 62.9%5,153 | 81.1%2,262 | 71.5%5,886 | 64.7%7,192 | 75.5%4,008 | 73.2%4,169 | 72.4%98 | 57.9%1,878 | 57.2%573 | 61.8%3,319 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 41.1%970 | 33.5%561 | 58.8%267 | 56.7%1,209 | 44.8%912 | 63.9%728 | 59.0%854 | 66.7%27 | 44.4%270 | 51.5%97 | 32.7%379 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 75.7%19,267 | 74.7%11,584 | 80.6%2,472 | 79.0%11,780 | 74.4%17,132 | 80.3%5,911 | 79.4%6,832 | 67.6%244 | 72.4%4,475 | 72.6%1,118 | 73.9%7,415 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 46.8%2,395 | 48.6%2,142 | 45.6%103 | 46.1%943 | 43.8%2,414 | 49.9%351 | 37.8%431 | 54.5%22 | 44.5%890 | 49.6%272 | 49.0%1,541 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 45.5%794 | 36.8%470 | 38.1%42 | 47.5%202 | 37.6%720 | 62.5%40 | 48.1%131 | 50.0%36 | 41.9%265 | 41.1%56 | 37.4%337 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 26.6%154 | 27.5%91 | 32.0%25 | 47.0%270 | 39.6%192 | 37.8%119 | 56.3%254 | 80.0%5 | 26.7%30 | 23.5%17 | 23.3%60 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 17.1%70 | 25.0%92 | – | 0.0%19 | 19.3%88 | 0.0%8 | 0.0%7 | – | 9.5%42 | 0.0%16 | 24.3%70 |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | 0.0%1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | 0.0%3 | 0.0%2 | – | – | – | 0.0%1 | – | – | 0.0%2 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%2 |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | 100.0%4 | 0.0%4 | – | – | 0.0%1 | – | – | – | 0.0%1 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%4 |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 44.4%2,213 | 42.8%1,773 | 58.8%136 | 45.9%926 | 42.1%2,346 | 44.7%309 | 51.8%610 | 41.9%31 | 44.3%845 | 42.7%227 | 40.4%1,211 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 30.4%484 | 28.4%426 | 21.1%19 | 29.7%165 | 31.5%523 | 47.5%59 | 42.1%133 | 0.0%4 | 21.0%162 | 28.1%57 | 30.4%309 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds