Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 58.1%28,685 | 51.7%8,805 | 66.9%33,289 | 63.4%39,628 | 54.6%18,177 | 64.8%36,757 | 65.1%35,517 | 56.3%3,361 | 52.1%1,997 | 45.3%318 | 51.1%4,659 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 32.4%2,817 | 26.8%1,507 | 21.3%178 | 31.6%1,302 | 26.1%2,425 | 24.4%624 | 22.3%452 | 21.7%46 | 31.6%487 | 32.0%97 | 28.6%836 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 39.2%4,661 | 37.6%2,032 | 65.4%10,241 | 51.0%8,906 | 38.4%3,634 | 58.7%9,673 | 54.3%7,915 | 25.4%114 | 34.8%515 | 28.8%118 | 34.6%1,107 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 72.8%93,117 | 71.8%27,708 | 73.3%196,911 | 73.4%161,340 | 72.9%57,046 | 73.7%178,357 | 73.2%172,028 | 73.6%199,811 | 71.8%5,217 | 71.8%950 | 72.1%14,214 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 27.8%3,127 | 26.2%1,791 | 26.2%191 | 32.6%1,862 | 31.6%2,963 | 35.9%1,224 | 24.9%688 | 47.4%57 | 27.0%493 | 39.0%82 | 28.2%991 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 51.0%25,378 | 47.5%8,954 | 55.8%18,431 | 56.0%35,460 | 50.8%17,731 | 57.2%30,717 | 55.9%28,460 | 62.7%20,212 | 50.1%2,230 | 50.2%410 | 45.6%4,904 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 54.3%34,890 | 53.8%13,210 | 53.7%15,524 | 55.6%44,870 | 54.4%24,960 | 57.4%35,801 | 56.6%40,043 | 61.8%24,786 | 54.5%2,752 | 48.7%497 | 53.8%6,942 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 32.8%2,943 | 31.7%1,185 | 41.0%583 | 38.3%3,169 | 30.0%2,394 | 38.6%1,620 | 39.3%2,382 | 47.1%678 | 30.4%431 | 24.6%69 | 29.0%700 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 74.4%95,440 | 75.3%29,344 | 72.8%190,449 | 74.0%158,813 | 74.7%59,098 | 73.5%172,709 | 73.9%168,580 | 73.2%191,190 | 74.2%5,404 | 75.5%1,051 | 74.5%14,848 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 50.7%29,843 | 51.1%11,608 | 52.8%13,766 | 53.4%36,832 | 51.9%21,920 | 53.4%29,463 | 54.4%29,984 | 53.7%4,864 | 53.7%2,843 | 53.7%499 | 53.8%6,432 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 50.1%27,225 | 49.3%10,214 | 52.2%10,187 | 51.7%31,318 | 50.3%19,577 | 53.6%23,395 | 52.5%24,335 | 52.4%3,298 | 47.6%2,122 | 49.4%362 | 50.3%5,472 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 67.7%81,474 | 67.1%24,275 | 68.2%188,363 | 68.6%143,903 | 67.6%49,893 | 68.7%163,303 | 68.3%154,301 | 68.6%194,539 | 67.1%4,675 | 66.5%852 | 67.4%12,504 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 69.8%86,857 | 69.9%26,405 | 68.6%182,235 | 69.2%145,878 | 70.0%53,648 | 69.0%160,420 | 69.2%156,670 | 68.9%184,739 | 69.3%4,916 | 66.0%833 | 69.9%13,466 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 54.0%21,487 | 47.4%6,959 | 63.8%21,958 | 59.5%30,222 | 52.4%14,096 | 62.5%25,439 | 62.0%25,111 | 55.8%5,038 | 47.0%1,738 | 51.3%279 | 45.8%3,720 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 60.6%46,694 | 58.8%16,515 | 67.4%86,359 | 64.1%76,839 | 60.2%32,206 | 65.5%80,549 | 65.4%79,926 | 62.8%70,934 | 59.5%3,305 | 58.2%612 | 59.1%8,669 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 36.4%4,865 | 34.9%2,041 | 63.2%7,824 | 48.8%7,831 | 35.5%3,935 | 55.7%8,560 | 51.5%6,839 | 32.2%245 | 32.6%622 | 32.1%109 | 31.3%1,326 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 72.8%89,825 | 71.2%26,483 | 71.9%162,024 | 72.4%144,731 | 72.2%54,272 | 71.9%152,262 | 72.2%151,184 | 68.4%193,269 | 71.5%5,057 | 70.2%937 | 71.0%13,287 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 46.1%20,464 | 48.0%8,657 | 44.4%4,251 | 46.0%18,894 | 45.5%15,686 | 44.7%10,644 | 45.2%11,696 | 42.8%787 | 47.9%2,102 | 46.1%410 | 47.6%4,740 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 41.5%5,065 | 32.6%1,694 | 56.8%2,151 | 48.4%4,672 | 40.8%3,757 | 53.0%2,830 | 49.5%3,810 | 37.1%240 | 33.5%403 | 32.8%61 | 31.8%876 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 24.1%758 | 22.9%271 | 48.1%1,203 | 37.1%1,470 | 19.3%642 | 41.2%1,584 | 40.0%1,304 | 16.7%24 | 28.0%93 | 44.4%9 | 23.0%174 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 17.2%605 | 21.7%373 | 0.0%18 | 12.9%201 | 17.5%661 | 23.9%117 | 26.6%79 | 0.0%3 | 12.4%113 | 19.0%21 | 24.3%206 |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | 0.0%3 | – | – | 0.0%3 | 0.0%3 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | 0.0%3 | – | 0.0%3 | – | 0.0%3 | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | 0.0%18 | 0.0%18 | – | – | 0.0%34 | – | 0.0%3 | – | – | – | 0.0%9 |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | 0.0%12 | – | – | 0.0%3 | 0.0%6 | 0.0%6 | 0.0%6 | – | 0.0%6 | – | 0.0%3 |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 44.2%17,827 | 43.5%7,507 | 45.6%4,425 | 45.6%17,152 | 44.0%13,511 | 45.5%9,945 | 45.7%11,568 | 50.8%1,655 | 45.9%1,812 | 43.3%293 | 44.1%4,136 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 27.6%3,004 | 30.1%1,670 | 20.6%339 | 25.7%1,780 | 27.0%2,740 | 30.5%884 | 30.2%1,030 | 12.1%58 | 24.8%416 | 14.3%63 | 19.3%905 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds