Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 59.9%19,257 | 53.3%5,367 | 70.5%21,109 | 66.5%26,369 | 56.8%11,693 | 69.3%23,064 | 68.9%23,096 | 58.9%1,371 | 54.4%1,185 | 53.4%191 | 50.7%2,947 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 33.4%1,251 | 28.5%601 | 29.6%54 | 32.2%550 | 25.3%932 | 18.7%219 | 23.6%161 | 0.0%10 | 36.4%187 | 29.7%37 | 24.3%329 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 41.8%2,455 | 34.9%1,008 | 68.4%7,062 | 54.8%5,314 | 43.7%1,853 | 62.0%6,337 | 56.8%4,763 | 0.0%33 | 30.6%209 | 24.4%41 | 33.7%510 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 72.8%80,247 | 72.5%23,360 | 73.6%188,127 | 73.8%141,710 | 72.9%48,730 | 74.1%159,879 | 73.7%151,716 | 74.0%187,505 | 72.4%4,290 | 72.2%823 | 71.9%11,916 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 34.0%1,387 | 27.0%644 | 45.2%84 | 31.2%785 | 28.6%1,265 | 35.2%528 | 28.5%298 | 41.9%31 | 20.1%154 | 44.4%27 | 26.6%380 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 51.0%14,700 | 48.3%4,980 | 58.4%7,597 | 56.1%19,894 | 51.6%10,594 | 56.5%14,864 | 57.1%15,204 | 66.8%8,397 | 47.0%1,287 | 51.8%224 | 45.1%2,833 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 55.1%21,407 | 51.8%8,276 | 53.9%4,684 | 57.0%23,824 | 54.9%15,758 | 59.0%18,011 | 58.8%17,604 | 63.6%5,157 | 53.6%1,755 | 54.2%336 | 52.9%4,404 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 34.6%1,270 | 32.7%504 | 44.6%296 | 37.0%1,466 | 34.6%1,102 | 35.0%694 | 36.6%1,163 | 50.3%288 | 29.7%158 | 27.8%18 | 25.3%292 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 74.5%84,258 | 74.9%25,505 | 73.4%176,126 | 74.5%141,229 | 74.9%51,930 | 74.3%154,010 | 74.2%151,984 | 74.2%175,643 | 74.8%4,551 | 77.3%911 | 74.3%12,810 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 50.6%17,560 | 51.5%7,034 | 51.1%5,340 | 55.1%19,685 | 52.0%13,416 | 54.8%12,876 | 53.4%13,747 | 56.3%1,284 | 52.1%1,723 | 55.6%324 | 52.1%4,062 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 50.4%15,934 | 49.6%5,948 | 52.6%3,748 | 52.6%16,273 | 50.5%11,560 | 50.8%10,040 | 53.3%11,121 | 48.2%772 | 49.6%1,272 | 54.9%224 | 50.4%3,370 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 67.9%64,162 | 67.2%18,972 | 68.9%149,290 | 69.3%112,273 | 68.2%39,646 | 69.3%128,074 | 68.8%115,926 | 69.8%153,322 | 67.6%3,516 | 65.7%656 | 67.3%9,842 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 70.0%70,708 | 70.1%21,496 | 69.2%152,825 | 69.7%117,666 | 69.9%44,187 | 69.8%126,940 | 70.0%128,188 | 69.5%151,724 | 69.5%3,834 | 65.5%632 | 69.6%10,882 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 56.5%13,557 | 51.4%4,011 | 67.4%12,491 | 63.0%18,817 | 54.9%9,026 | 65.0%15,147 | 63.4%15,419 | 61.5%1,765 | 49.3%979 | 53.7%162 | 47.4%2,136 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 61.8%32,190 | 58.4%11,269 | 69.3%53,317 | 65.1%50,544 | 61.2%22,454 | 67.9%52,140 | 67.5%50,745 | 63.4%17,183 | 58.9%2,293 | 58.9%455 | 59.3%6,026 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 38.5%2,451 | 35.0%917 | 62.0%4,885 | 50.2%4,472 | 40.3%1,910 | 57.4%5,175 | 52.7%4,051 | 37.9%116 | 21.3%230 | 39.5%38 | 32.7%551 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 73.2%76,786 | 71.2%21,828 | 73.1%138,912 | 73.5%124,451 | 72.9%45,758 | 73.4%129,819 | 73.4%131,290 | 69.4%160,557 | 72.1%4,140 | 70.5%748 | 72.2%11,046 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 47.8%11,374 | 48.4%4,965 | 42.6%1,707 | 46.5%9,241 | 46.1%8,686 | 44.4%4,139 | 44.9%4,974 | 54.7%406 | 48.9%1,123 | 45.4%251 | 49.1%2,742 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 45.3%2,674 | 35.6%697 | 58.8%953 | 52.8%2,325 | 41.5%1,957 | 47.9%962 | 53.1%1,967 | 54.8%126 | 33.3%195 | 0.0%17 | 36.5%345 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 24.2%252 | 17.0%94 | 49.7%668 | 43.1%793 | 19.7%208 | 41.6%858 | 40.0%680 | 0.0%8 | 0.0%22 | 0.0%2 | 11.3%53 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 19.9%191 | 24.7%85 | 0.0%6 | 22.4%67 | 19.2%198 | 0.0%32 | 34.5%29 | – | 21.7%46 | 0.0%8 | 20.4%49 |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | 0.0%3 | 0.0%3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 44.3%9,698 | 42.2%4,025 | 44.6%1,792 | 46.7%8,347 | 44.8%7,233 | 43.4%4,240 | 45.9%5,160 | 49.2%614 | 51.4%1,008 | 49.7%155 | 46.3%2,315 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 25.4%1,179 | 33.9%720 | 18.7%107 | 25.9%735 | 29.9%1,105 | 35.5%330 | 29.1%478 | 0.0%25 | 28.9%142 | 21.7%23 | 22.3%314 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds