Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 61.5%13,604 | 52.9%3,793 | 72.7%14,092 | 69.7%18,087 | 58.7%8,269 | 73.0%15,447 | 71.0%14,972 | 55.7%698 | 54.3%875 | 52.7%129 | 53.3%2,061 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 31.1%684 | 27.7%278 | 33.3%18 | 29.1%282 | 21.8%450 | 25.0%104 | 24.1%79 | 0.0%5 | 27.5%102 | 23.1%26 | 15.3%170 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 42.5%1,486 | 34.2%579 | 70.5%4,991 | 54.8%3,550 | 45.3%1,165 | 63.5%4,337 | 61.8%3,360 | 0.0%18 | 43.2%148 | 25.0%20 | 33.8%296 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 73.1%65,872 | 71.9%19,477 | 73.7%148,509 | 74.7%114,585 | 72.9%40,979 | 75.4%129,742 | 74.4%116,429 | 76.2%144,893 | 72.9%3,746 | 72.9%712 | 72.7%10,207 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 32.1%704 | 25.8%337 | 38.8%49 | 34.6%419 | 29.2%705 | 37.2%277 | 26.0%104 | 53.3%15 | 12.8%86 | 50.0%24 | 18.1%188 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 51.0%9,376 | 49.2%3,317 | 58.0%3,542 | 56.5%11,347 | 52.4%7,069 | 59.1%7,464 | 58.3%8,810 | 68.2%3,572 | 46.9%901 | 39.6%149 | 46.4%1,868 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 55.4%14,333 | 52.8%5,652 | 53.0%1,978 | 57.8%13,968 | 55.5%10,839 | 58.3%8,866 | 58.2%8,480 | 71.1%1,077 | 52.0%1,271 | 61.0%259 | 52.0%3,052 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 35.0%735 | 34.4%270 | 47.2%176 | 37.9%780 | 34.0%582 | 39.4%360 | 34.8%660 | 49.1%161 | 36.6%101 | 33.3%15 | 22.1%136 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 74.6%71,448 | 74.8%22,143 | 74.0%145,889 | 75.1%117,046 | 75.2%45,048 | 75.0%123,656 | 75.3%125,327 | 75.7%139,649 | 74.6%3,984 | 75.4%792 | 75.0%11,295 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 50.6%11,081 | 52.6%4,696 | 52.0%2,286 | 54.5%10,791 | 51.4%8,639 | 54.0%6,030 | 56.0%7,255 | 50.9%444 | 52.6%1,311 | 58.1%267 | 52.5%2,938 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 51.5%10,155 | 50.0%3,993 | 52.4%1,812 | 52.4%8,626 | 50.7%7,621 | 53.9%5,081 | 50.7%5,198 | 45.0%362 | 53.4%910 | 57.1%168 | 51.4%2,240 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 68.5%47,637 | 67.4%14,981 | 70.0%65,443 | 69.7%77,019 | 68.2%30,966 | 70.1%80,888 | 69.7%70,591 | 73.1%68,629 | 67.1%2,978 | 67.8%572 | 67.5%7,823 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 70.3%55,825 | 69.6%17,351 | 69.5%72,819 | 70.4%84,822 | 69.6%35,483 | 70.5%82,462 | 71.0%90,003 | 72.7%79,074 | 69.8%3,233 | 63.4%516 | 69.3%8,996 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 58.3%9,364 | 49.0%2,703 | 69.2%6,717 | 64.9%11,725 | 56.4%6,181 | 68.9%8,430 | 65.2%9,048 | 58.0%1,032 | 47.5%699 | 52.4%124 | 47.3%1,405 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 62.6%22,657 | 59.7%8,183 | 72.0%30,069 | 67.6%33,750 | 61.6%16,158 | 69.5%33,162 | 69.2%30,845 | 64.4%2,754 | 56.9%1,722 | 60.9%368 | 59.5%4,470 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 41.1%1,405 | 34.4%523 | 64.3%3,251 | 51.5%2,823 | 40.1%1,146 | 61.2%3,464 | 52.6%2,645 | 54.0%63 | 11.3%133 | 37.0%27 | 32.6%310 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 73.7%63,173 | 71.9%18,055 | 74.8%106,522 | 74.8%100,999 | 73.4%38,560 | 75.0%100,735 | 75.0%102,833 | 72.5%64,277 | 72.4%3,569 | 71.3%663 | 72.8%9,396 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 47.5%7,089 | 46.8%3,289 | 40.1%835 | 44.7%4,750 | 47.2%5,459 | 43.7%2,188 | 44.8%2,420 | 50.0%144 | 45.0%757 | 45.2%166 | 51.8%1,916 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 46.3%1,681 | 36.2%434 | 55.7%316 | 56.2%1,354 | 42.8%1,265 | 51.9%324 | 54.7%1,064 | 55.1%78 | 34.5%110 | 0.0%10 | 40.5%220 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 23.3%133 | 23.4%47 | 46.4%366 | 42.6%455 | 16.5%97 | 48.4%543 | 37.0%403 | 0.0%5 | 0.0%16 | 0.0%2 | 20.7%29 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 23.4%77 | 21.6%51 | – | 26.3%19 | 16.0%81 | 0.0%17 | 0.0%13 | – | 0.0%9 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%24 |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 44.7%5,923 | 40.5%2,482 | 43.1%885 | 45.2%4,547 | 45.3%4,566 | 44.8%2,286 | 45.0%2,684 | 34.8%256 | 50.6%692 | 54.5%112 | 43.2%1,492 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 22.9%590 | 38.7%406 | 17.5%57 | 25.5%330 | 34.2%593 | 43.2%220 | 28.4%243 | 0.0%10 | 32.9%79 | 62.5%8 | 25.0%152 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds