Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 64.2%7,010 | 54.6%2,247 | 79.1%4,215 | 72.6%7,096 | 60.7%4,915 | 76.4%5,012 | 76.2%6,068 | 56.5%214 | 55.5%674 | 62.2%98 | 50.8%1,170 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 30.9%392 | 25.9%205 | 0.0%12 | 30.4%135 | 20.8%260 | 10.6%47 | 30.6%36 | 0.0%2 | 22.2%72 | 0.0%14 | 18.5%108 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 39.2%823 | 31.9%335 | 75.9%2,511 | 58.4%1,927 | 48.7%725 | 68.8%2,204 | 62.9%1,787 | 0.0%8 | 27.8%90 | 25.0%20 | 35.3%207 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 74.0%35,603 | 73.0%12,737 | 77.3%26,728 | 76.8%48,197 | 73.1%24,912 | 77.7%44,120 | 77.1%40,811 | 82.0%28,647 | 73.1%3,012 | 73.6%542 | 72.9%6,961 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 38.2%385 | 25.7%241 | 0.0%10 | 36.6%183 | 32.4%442 | 39.2%120 | 33.3%54 | 0.0%7 | 17.7%62 | 33.3%18 | 16.0%131 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 54.1%4,775 | 49.6%1,898 | 59.5%943 | 57.8%4,307 | 53.9%3,914 | 63.3%2,259 | 56.8%3,121 | 73.0%973 | 42.6%625 | 41.6%113 | 50.8%1,045 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 55.2%6,602 | 54.4%3,303 | 49.9%421 | 57.0%4,511 | 54.8%5,615 | 59.1%2,437 | 59.1%2,014 | 59.6%198 | 49.0%893 | 58.7%150 | 53.8%1,897 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 32.5%468 | 27.9%179 | 50.0%114 | 39.6%391 | 40.2%351 | 32.5%163 | 31.3%310 | 38.0%79 | 35.7%70 | 41.7%12 | 19.3%83 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 75.5%40,814 | 75.1%15,194 | 72.6%17,240 | 76.9%51,661 | 76.0%29,147 | 77.6%42,448 | 77.3%46,879 | 81.7%25,981 | 73.6%3,197 | 73.6%618 | 74.5%8,052 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 49.6%4,974 | 54.4%2,666 | 59.7%708 | 54.4%3,850 | 52.0%4,439 | 58.1%1,669 | 55.0%2,513 | 57.8%128 | 54.7%938 | 60.5%205 | 54.4%1,671 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 50.1%4,630 | 49.5%2,377 | 45.9%462 | 49.3%2,898 | 54.4%4,229 | 56.6%1,689 | 51.5%1,562 | 40.4%99 | 50.9%619 | 56.0%116 | 51.5%1,439 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 68.8%23,264 | 67.9%9,176 | 73.5%9,578 | 71.0%26,241 | 68.6%17,459 | 71.6%17,870 | 71.7%19,393 | 76.0%5,561 | 66.5%2,272 | 68.1%414 | 69.3%5,126 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 70.3%27,322 | 69.8%11,008 | 68.8%6,179 | 70.9%27,084 | 70.0%20,520 | 70.9%17,860 | 70.3%19,068 | 75.0%2,210 | 69.3%2,550 | 67.2%409 | 70.2%5,980 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 59.9%4,820 | 51.1%1,543 | 77.4%1,350 | 66.4%4,018 | 58.0%3,607 | 70.4%1,802 | 67.7%3,191 | 69.5%236 | 46.9%493 | 56.4%94 | 47.1%785 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 63.8%11,530 | 60.7%4,918 | 77.2%8,274 | 69.3%13,805 | 62.6%8,862 | 73.5%11,483 | 72.5%11,023 | 61.5%283 | 56.8%1,265 | 61.6%250 | 59.1%2,793 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 41.4%833 | 35.8%369 | 68.2%1,011 | 54.1%1,515 | 39.9%681 | 63.9%1,656 | 53.9%1,281 | 58.3%36 | 16.7%90 | 41.7%24 | 40.4%203 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 75.4%35,967 | 73.4%12,208 | 81.1%24,066 | 77.0%43,229 | 74.6%24,305 | 78.7%35,367 | 77.8%36,648 | 72.9%1,950 | 72.3%2,839 | 71.2%507 | 72.7%6,473 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 46.7%3,335 | 45.4%1,819 | 47.0%217 | 46.0%1,726 | 47.2%2,881 | 44.8%690 | 47.1%848 | 25.5%47 | 44.8%551 | 48.3%116 | 48.8%1,104 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 50.1%943 | 35.7%297 | 61.9%97 | 53.8%437 | 39.5%751 | 43.6%101 | 53.8%379 | 53.3%45 | 35.1%74 | 0.0%10 | 51.2%162 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 22.2%81 | 31.4%35 | 38.2%123 | 44.0%266 | 19.2%52 | 43.8%233 | 45.5%246 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%10 | 0.0%2 | 30.0%20 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 0.0%44 | 11.9%42 | – | 41.7%12 | 0.0%50 | 0.0%8 | 0.0%6 | – | 0.0%6 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%24 |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 46.6%2,990 | 42.0%1,418 | 48.1%270 | 43.3%1,629 | 46.1%2,466 | 40.9%722 | 46.4%1,078 | 21.4%84 | 51.8%514 | 56.5%85 | 46.0%898 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 29.8%346 | 37.3%271 | 41.7%24 | 33.5%185 | 31.6%329 | 32.7%98 | 33.1%127 | – | 40.6%64 | 62.5%8 | 28.6%91 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds