Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 65.0%2,994 | 61.7%813 | 81.9%1,643 | 79.0%3,712 | 63.0%2,061 | 77.5%1,988 | 77.5%2,940 | 69.0%87 | 63.9%227 | 63.3%30 | 50.3%358 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 30.8%65 | 44.8%29 | 0.0%2 | 50.0%28 | 46.3%41 | 0.0%5 | 0.0%2 | – | 50.0%12 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%6 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 35.8%193 | 0.0%47 | 73.2%1,022 | 63.9%736 | 52.0%198 | 72.3%1,175 | 70.1%852 | – | 0.0%17 | 0.0%1 | 24.0%25 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 74.9%18,926 | 75.0%6,784 | 78.2%8,174 | 78.1%24,284 | 74.1%13,225 | 79.3%18,346 | 78.0%18,111 | 84.4%8,854 | 71.9%1,422 | 71.2%274 | 74.5%3,823 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 45.1%82 | 26.9%26 | 0.0%2 | 37.8%37 | 33.9%56 | 25.0%28 | 70.0%10 | – | 85.7%7 | 75.0%8 | 0.0%8 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 53.0%1,643 | 54.6%586 | 64.1%379 | 58.6%1,548 | 55.9%1,303 | 61.9%842 | 56.2%1,154 | 73.9%418 | 50.5%184 | 33.3%18 | 49.7%288 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 58.7%2,569 | 56.6%1,128 | 50.0%136 | 60.4%1,653 | 54.9%2,037 | 58.4%837 | 54.3%611 | 56.9%51 | 52.4%254 | 48.5%66 | 56.9%622 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 27.0%74 | 48.8%41 | 56.8%37 | 40.2%87 | 24.1%54 | 34.1%41 | 31.3%67 | 58.1%31 | 0.0%9 | 0.0%1 | 60.0%10 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 75.7%22,167 | 75.7%8,360 | 71.2%4,066 | 77.8%24,016 | 76.5%16,351 | 78.2%17,029 | 77.9%17,876 | 81.7%2,735 | 76.0%1,670 | 73.3%352 | 75.4%4,381 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 47.8%1,561 | 57.8%888 | 53.9%284 | 49.8%1,273 | 51.6%1,446 | 60.3%702 | 55.7%897 | 68.0%50 | 55.4%280 | 45.6%57 | 48.8%518 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 52.3%1,617 | 50.7%689 | 41.9%155 | 50.5%954 | 54.3%1,435 | 52.7%588 | 56.2%539 | 0.0%18 | 39.7%151 | 38.2%34 | 48.6%389 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 69.8%11,577 | 69.8%4,352 | 73.9%3,515 | 72.0%11,600 | 69.2%8,385 | 70.5%6,520 | 72.9%8,189 | 77.2%1,560 | 68.0%989 | 65.4%191 | 71.4%2,542 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 70.6%13,578 | 71.4%5,467 | 66.2%1,960 | 71.3%11,421 | 69.8%9,901 | 72.6%6,756 | 69.6%6,392 | 77.9%624 | 72.5%1,182 | 70.7%174 | 71.2%3,024 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 63.6%1,997 | 49.5%461 | 75.8%475 | 69.9%1,707 | 61.2%1,379 | 74.4%617 | 71.5%1,540 | 54.9%82 | 54.7%139 | 31.6%19 | 47.2%233 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 63.9%5,046 | 61.9%1,947 | 79.7%3,836 | 70.1%6,331 | 64.2%3,847 | 74.8%5,779 | 73.4%5,129 | 75.3%146 | 55.1%396 | 45.2%84 | 59.7%1,090 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 43.1%188 | 49.3%67 | 68.4%474 | 67.5%570 | 31.5%127 | 67.5%833 | 53.6%485 | 46.2%13 | 0.0%3 | 0.0%2 | 32.3%31 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 76.1%19,642 | 74.3%6,400 | 80.8%8,109 | 79.5%21,075 | 75.2%13,206 | 80.7%14,750 | 79.6%15,347 | 72.1%602 | 73.2%1,348 | 71.4%273 | 74.1%3,512 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 43.0%939 | 50.6%504 | 51.9%77 | 45.5%521 | 47.3%855 | 54.0%252 | 42.2%249 | 58.3%12 | 37.7%106 | 27.3%22 | 49.8%331 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 59.2%304 | 48.2%56 | 41.4%29 | 50.7%138 | 34.6%162 | 0.0%15 | 53.4%133 | 0.0%11 | 42.9%14 | – | 57.1%35 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 50.0%14 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%22 | 48.6%72 | 0.0%4 | 13.0%46 | 58.2%67 | – | – | – | 100.0%6 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | 0.0%6 | 0.0%3 | – | 0.0%1 | 0.0%4 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 52.8%880 | 42.8%327 | 53.7%95 | 37.4%454 | 43.7%648 | 41.5%229 | 51.6%316 | 38.9%18 | 50.4%137 | 35.0%20 | 39.8%211 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 17.1%35 | 28.0%50 | 0.0%2 | 55.3%38 | 20.7%58 | 51.6%31 | 0.0%14 | – | 60.0%10 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%9 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds