Tests
How our pick rules performed on 200,000+ archive matches, and how many hit live this week, with the reasons for misses. A transparent scorecard.
Live tracking (this week)
Every candidate is frozen before kick-off and checked against the final score. A rule's score blends its archive back-test with its live record, so rules that miss live drop automatically. Picks waiting for results: 12.
Daily picks (shared on our channel)
04.10
✓ West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W): Away win (2)
03.10
… Albacete Balompié U19 – Rayo Vallecano U19: Home under 1.5✓ Belarus – San Marino: Over 2.5✓ Olympic Charleroi – RFC Meux: Away under 1.5
02.10
✓ Ranheim – Egersund: Over 2.5✓ Juventude-RS – Operário-PR: Away under 1.5
01.10
✓ Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City: Over 2.5
30.09
✓ Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21: Home win (1)✓ Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC: Home under 1.5✓ New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SC: Over 2.5
28.09
✗ Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina: Double chance 1X✗ Belgium – France: Over 1.5… Botswana – Tunisia: Home under 1.5
27.09
✗ KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 Jaroslaw: Home under 1.5✓ Teruel – Huesca: Home under 1.5✓ RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20: Home over 1.5
26.09
… Skedsmo – Ulfstind: Home over 1.5✓ Brabrand – Nykøbing FC: Home under 1.5✓ Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF: Home under 1.5
25.09
✓ Niger – Lesotho: Away under 1.5✗ Georgia – Northern Ireland: Double chance 1X✓ Morocco – Gabon: Home win (1)
24.09
✓ Liechtenstein – Lithuania: Home under 1.5✓ Kosovo – Republic of Ireland: Under 3.5✓ Cameroon – Comoros: Home win (1)
23.09
… Manchester United (W) – Sheffield United (W): Home over 1.5✓ Turks & Caicos – Montserrat: Home under 1.5
22.09
✓ Peterborough United – Colchester United: Over 1.5✓ Clachnacuddin – Ross County: Home under 1.5✓ Independiente Medellín – Jaguares de Córdoba: Home win (1)
Rule scorecard
| Rule | Checked | Hit | Live rate | PriorArchive | Score now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 90% · ≥20 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 89% | 89% |
| Away under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 6 | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Home over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 82% | 83% |
| Away win (2) · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥20 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 78% | 79% |
| Home win (1) · DNB home + Over 1.5 · 90% · ≥10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 80% · ≥3 | 8 | 7 | 88% | 74% | 76% |
| Away over 1.5 · DNB home + DNB away · 80% · ≥10 | 5 | 4 | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| HT under 1.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 75% | 73% |
| HT over 0.5 · DNB home + Over 2.5 · 90% · ≥20 | 6 | 2 | 33% | 76% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 · Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 · 70% · ≥20 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 72% | 70% |
Latest results
| Kick-off | Match | Pick | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.10 23:00 | Club Atletico Guemes – ColegialesArgentina · Primera Nacional | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 22:00 | Guyana – DominicaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 21:00 | Morocco – MaliInternational Friendly Matches | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 04.10 17:00 | Kyrgyzstan – LebanonInternational Friendly Matches | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 3-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 04.10 16:00 | West Ham United (W) – Chelsea (W)England · Super League (W) | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 04.10 01:30 | Inter de Limeira-SP – Brusque-SCBrazil · Brasileirao Serie C | Under 2.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 2-1 |
| 04.10 00:00 | CD Águila – CD CacahuatiqueEl Salvador · Primera El Salvador | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Olympic Charleroi – RFC MeuxBelgium · Eerste Nationale | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 21:00 | Almere City – FC VolendamNetherlands · Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 1-0 |
| 03.10 19:00 | Belarus – San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 03.10 13:00 | Žalgiris Vilnius – FK PanevezysClub Friendly Matches | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 03.10 02:45 | Juventude-RS – Operário-PRBrazil · Brasileirao Serie B | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 21:45 | England U21 – Slovakia U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Miss | FT 0-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 02.10 20:00 | Ranheim – EgersundNorway · OBOS-ligaen | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 02.10 04:30 | Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas CityUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:30 | New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City SCUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 01.10 02:00 | Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FCUSA · USL Championship | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 30.09 21:30 | Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Home win (1) | Hit | |
| 30.09 19:45 | Paris FC (W) – Arsenal (W)Champions League (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 15:00 | Comoros – NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Under 2.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 14:00 | Santa Clara U23 – FC Felgueiras U23Portugal · Liga Revelacao U23 | HT over 0.5 | Hit | |
| 29.09 04:06 | Club Necaxa (W) – Toluca (W)Mexico · Liga MX Femenil (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 28.09 21:00 | Defensor Sporting Reserves – Progreso ReservesUruguay · Reserve League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 0-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 28.09 02:00 | Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 23:30 | Portmore United – Humble LionsJamaica · Premier League | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 4-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 21:00 | RB Bragantino-SP U20 – Bandeirante SP U20Brazil · Paulista U20 | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Teruel – HuescaSpain · Primera RFEF 2 | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 20:00 | Lorca Deportiva CF – UD CastellonenseSpain · Segunda RFEF 3 | HT over 0.5 | Miss | FT 1-0 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 16:00 | KS Moravia Morawica – JKS 1909 JaroslawPoland · III Liga | Home under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-2 · HT 0-0 |
| 27.09 05:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps – D.C. UnitedUSA · MLS | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 27.09 02:00 | Antigua & Barbuda – AnguillaCONCACAF · Nations League | Home over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 17:00 | Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FFSweden · Ettan Södra | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 15:00 | Brabrand – Nykøbing FCDenmark · 2nd Division | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 26.09 09:00 | China U23 – Thailand U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 21:45 | Arbroath – Queen's ParkScotland · Championship | HT under 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 2-0 |
| 25.09 21:30 | England U21 – Kazakhstan U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Over 2.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 18:30 | Bulgaria U21 – Portugal U21UEFA Championship Qualification U21 | Away over 1.5 | Miss | FT 2-1 · HT 0-0 |
| 25.09 18:00 | Niger – LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qualification | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 25.09 12:00 | Bangladesh – MalaysiaASEAN Cup | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 24.09 21:45 | Liechtenstein – LithuaniaUEFA Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Home under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 22:00 | Turks & Caicos – MontserratCONCACAF · Nations League | Away win (2) | Hit | |
| 23.09 18:30 | HJK (W) – Brann (W)Europa Cup (W) | Away over 1.5 | Hit | |
| 23.09 08:30 | China U23 – United Arab Emirates U23Asian Games · Men | Away under 1.5 | Hit | |
| 22.09 21:45 | Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyScotland · Challenge Cup | Home under 1.5 | Hit |
Archive back-test 2010–2019
Every archive match is treated as if it were today's: its prediction comes only from the OTHER archive matches with the same opening in that filter combination (leave-one-out). When the share reaches the threshold it counts as a prediction and is checked against the real score. Cell: hit rate and number of predictions. Green = at least 5 points above base, red = below base; framed = best combination for that bet (200+ predictions). 209,514 matches with both half-time and full-time scores.
| Bet type | DNB home + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + DNB away | DNB home + Over 2.5 | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 | DNB home + Over 1.5 | DNB home + Under 3.5 | Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 | DNB home + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 2.5 + BTTS yes | DNB home + DNB away + Over 1.5 + Under 3.5 + Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win (1)base 45% | 68.9%1,691 | 57.6%399 | 86.5%734 | 79.0%1,813 | 65.0%1,135 | 81.5%715 | 78.6%1,466 | 76.6%47 | 50.4%113 | 57.1%21 | 53.4%189 |
| Draw (X)base 25% | 22.2%27 | 61.9%21 | – | 50.0%12 | 60.0%20 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%2 | – | 75.0%8 | – | 0.0%4 |
| Away win (2)base 30% | 32.5%80 | 0.0%21 | 74.1%433 | 61.6%391 | 47.1%104 | 74.0%653 | 69.9%458 | – | 0.0%5 | 0.0%1 | 31.6%19 |
| Over 1.5base 74% | 75.7%10,557 | 74.6%3,993 | 76.4%2,920 | 78.7%11,809 | 75.0%7,534 | 80.2%7,036 | 79.5%8,450 | 83.8%1,941 | 70.2%934 | 76.1%197 | 75.4%2,293 |
| Under 1.5base 26% | 56.6%53 | 0.0%11 | – | 38.9%18 | 45.2%42 | 0.0%6 | 0.0%3 | – | 85.7%7 | 100.0%6 | 0.0%4 |
| Over 2.5base 50% | 48.9%751 | 51.7%292 | 66.3%193 | 53.0%670 | 54.9%692 | 61.7%392 | 55.2%542 | 69.1%207 | 48.8%80 | 42.9%14 | 52.6%173 |
| Under 2.5base 50% | 63.0%1,306 | 60.7%646 | 18.2%33 | 59.3%788 | 54.7%991 | 56.1%380 | 53.0%270 | 75.9%29 | 59.7%159 | 66.7%36 | 54.2%325 |
| Over 3.5base 28% | 31.6%38 | 63.2%19 | 0.0%10 | 35.0%40 | 34.2%38 | 66.7%21 | 0.0%17 | 85.7%21 | 0.0%5 | 0.0%1 | 75.0%8 |
| Under 3.5base 72% | 75.9%12,203 | 75.9%5,024 | 70.1%1,333 | 77.1%11,224 | 76.6%9,645 | 78.7%6,589 | 77.8%5,971 | 85.3%720 | 77.6%1,163 | 74.3%202 | 77.1%2,833 |
| BTTS: yesbase 51% | 52.3%738 | 55.6%459 | 49.1%116 | 54.4%630 | 53.2%722 | 58.8%272 | 51.3%398 | 71.4%35 | 50.6%160 | 36.4%33 | 52.7%296 |
| BTTS: nobase 49% | 52.1%712 | 48.7%351 | 53.1%64 | 48.8%424 | 53.6%731 | 47.4%232 | 60.9%256 | 0.0%8 | 46.9%96 | 35.3%17 | 41.2%199 |
| HT over 0.5base 68% | 70.3%6,013 | 67.9%2,384 | 74.6%1,427 | 72.7%5,569 | 69.0%4,554 | 71.6%2,618 | 75.0%3,864 | 77.8%513 | 64.0%555 | 63.1%103 | 71.3%1,491 |
| HT under 1.5base 68% | 71.4%7,129 | 71.6%3,131 | 64.3%591 | 73.3%5,553 | 71.0%5,512 | 75.8%3,065 | 69.6%2,428 | 81.7%186 | 72.5%766 | 61.9%97 | 70.7%1,749 |
| Home over 1.5base 43% | 65.7%1,087 | 53.7%259 | 70.2%168 | 60.6%658 | 61.3%758 | 61.1%144 | 73.0%677 | 59.6%47 | 53.3%75 | 40.0%15 | 59.3%135 |
| Home under 1.5base 57% | 64.6%2,610 | 64.9%1,130 | 82.3%1,982 | 69.6%3,200 | 65.7%2,100 | 75.9%2,969 | 74.6%2,632 | 81.7%71 | 57.5%254 | 56.4%55 | 60.1%572 |
| Away over 1.5base 32% | 39.4%94 | 35.3%34 | 61.5%200 | 69.3%342 | 35.2%71 | 67.5%412 | 58.0%224 | 66.7%9 | 0.0%3 | 0.0%2 | 40.0%25 |
| Away under 1.5base 68% | 77.4%11,142 | 74.7%3,810 | 81.4%2,174 | 80.7%9,947 | 75.6%7,747 | 81.3%5,210 | 81.5%5,941 | 62.6%139 | 74.5%953 | 69.7%145 | 74.9%2,120 |
| 2-3 goalsbase 46% | 44.5%454 | 53.9%269 | 63.4%41 | 49.8%235 | 41.1%348 | 64.3%112 | 34.6%104 | 87.5%8 | 31.1%61 | 37.5%16 | 55.8%181 |
| HT/FT 1/1base 27% | 64.5%183 | 41.4%29 | 57.1%21 | 45.2%62 | 25.7%70 | 0.0%3 | 45.8%48 | 0.0%5 | 60.0%10 | – | 48.0%25 |
| HT/FT 2/2base 17% | 0.0%3 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%7 | 40.6%32 | 0.0%2 | 25.0%24 | 61.0%41 | – | – | – | 100.0%6 |
| HT/FT X/Xbase 16% | – | 0.0%1 | – | 0.0%1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/1base 3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/2base 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 1/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| HT/FT 2/Xbase 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| More goals in 2nd halfbase 45% | 45.9%405 | 42.9%170 | 67.3%55 | 35.6%180 | 42.1%321 | 37.5%72 | 57.4%169 | 0.0%3 | 47.5%80 | 0.0%9 | 37.6%109 |
| More goals in 1st halfbase 28% | 24.0%25 | 25.0%24 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%11 | 40.0%30 | 84.2%19 | 0.0%8 | – | 60.0%10 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%5 |
Archive percentages describe what happened in the past; they do not decide a match. harbigol does not offer betting and shows no odds or bookmakers. 18+.
Other analysis pages
Dropping Odds · Matches: how did archive games with the same opening end? · Picks · HT/FT turnarounds